Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.6%
Grimsby
22.8%
Draw
12.6%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Grimsby
vs
0.73
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
1-0
12.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.3%
0-0
8.0%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).