Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.4%
Barrow
23.7%
Draw
55.9%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Barrow
vs
1.62
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-1
11.1%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).