Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.0%
FC Koln
31.4%
Draw
25.6%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
FC Koln
vs
0.91
Hertha
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
1-0
13.1%
0-0
12.8%
0-1
9.2%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).