Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.2%
Marseille
18.6%
Draw
21.2%
Brest
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Marseille
vs
1.29
Brest
Markets
BTTS64.6%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-1
4.1%
0-1
4.1%
4-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).