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10 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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84.8%
Galatasaray
12.7%
Draw
2.5%
Antalyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.85

Galatasaray

vs
0.46

Antalyaspor

Markets

BTTS36.0%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.8%
3-0
14.1%
4-0
10.0%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
1-1
6.0%
5-0
5.7%
0-0
4.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
2-2
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).