Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Accrington
26.2%
Draw
36.9%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Accrington
vs
1.15
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
1-0
12.7%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).