Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.9%
AVS
30.2%
Draw
41.9%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
AVS
vs
1.28
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
11.2%
1-0
9.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).