Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.5%
Le Mans
23.9%
Draw
14.6%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Le Mans
vs
0.57
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS32.9%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.7%
2-0
14.3%
0-0
11.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.9%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.0%
4-0
2.8%
2-2
2.3%
0-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).