⚽ FootballData
1 – 2
AHT: 11CSV

06 Oct 2025 · 20:00

Crewe

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
20.9%
Harrogate
26.5%
Draw
52.6%
Crewe

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Harrogate

vs
1.40

Crewe

Markets

BTTS39.9%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.5%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
11.3%
0-0
10.9%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).