Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.6%
Alloa
28.8%
Draw
45.6%
Dunfermline
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Alloa
vs
1.57
Dunfermline
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).