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09 Apr 2023 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.2%
Dundee United
25.2%
Draw
47.7%
Hibernian

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Dundee United

vs
1.69

Hibernian

Markets

BTTS58.1%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).