Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Plymouth
21.1%
Draw
31.0%
Peterboro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Plymouth
vs
1.43
Peterboro
Markets
BTTS62.9%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.540.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
3-2
4.0%
3-0
3.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).