Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.2%
Sheffield United
27.3%
Draw
24.5%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Sheffield United
vs
1.03
Watford
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).