Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.6%
Granada
26.8%
Draw
22.6%
Numancia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Granada
vs
0.85
Numancia
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
10.4%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).