Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Samsunspor
32.5%
Draw
24.9%
Gaziantep
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Samsunspor
vs
1.08
Gaziantep
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.6%
0-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).