Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.0%
Altay
29.6%
Draw
21.4%
Ad. Demirspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Altay
vs
1.10
Ad. Demirspor
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-0
5.1%
0-1
3.7%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).