Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.7%
Monaco
23.3%
Draw
47.1%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Monaco
vs
1.69
Aris
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
4.8%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).