Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.9%
Vallecano
21.8%
Draw
13.4%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Vallecano
vs
0.72
Granada
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.2%
0-0
7.5%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).