Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.8%
West Ham
25.4%
Draw
49.8%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
West Ham
vs
1.87
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.5%
0-1
6.6%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
6.0%
0-0
5.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-3
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).