Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
Genk
25.7%
Draw
32.4%
Charleroi
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Genk
vs
1.37
Charleroi
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
6.5%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).