Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.4%
Guingamp
23.8%
Draw
32.8%
Red Star
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Guingamp
vs
1.22
Red Star
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).