Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.7%
Lecce
28.4%
Draw
45.9%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Lecce
vs
1.27
Genoa
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
10.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).