Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.1%
Setubal
23.1%
Draw
65.7%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48
Setubal
vs
1.61
Porto
Markets
BTTS30.1%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.3%
0-2
16.0%
0-0
12.0%
1-1
9.2%
0-3
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
0-4
3.4%
2-1
2.3%
2-2
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).