Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.5%
Lincoln
20.3%
Draw
17.1%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Lincoln
vs
0.83
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
2-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).