Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Sp Gijon
22.3%
Draw
39.7%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Sp Gijon
vs
1.74
Almeria
Markets
BTTS67.3%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
7.0%
0-1
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).