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08 Mar 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.6%
Kelty Hearts
25.7%
Draw
45.7%
Montrose

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Kelty Hearts

vs
1.65

Montrose

Markets

BTTS58.6%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.3%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).