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16 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.4%
Dag and Red
26.6%
Draw
23.1%
Wealdstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Dag and Red

vs
1.04

Wealdstone

Markets

BTTS53.1%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).