Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Aldershot
23.3%
Draw
45.9%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Aldershot
vs
1.96
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS69.1%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.547.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
7.0%
1-3
5.7%
0-2
5.5%
0-1
4.9%
2-3
4.6%
1-0
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
2-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).