Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Perugia
29.2%
Draw
25.4%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Perugia
vs
1.00
Ternana
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).