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DHT: 10CSV

18 May 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.2%
Hearts
29.9%
Draw
30.9%
Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Hearts

vs
1.05

Rangers

Markets

BTTS46.3%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).