Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.3%
Ternana
28.4%
Draw
21.3%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Ternana
vs
0.90
Bari
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-0
10.2%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).