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AHT: 11CSV

05 Aug 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.2%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
22.1%
Draw
16.7%
RWD Molenbeek

Expected Goals (xG)

2.01

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

vs
0.96

RWD Molenbeek

Markets

BTTS54.0%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).