Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.2%
Cittadella
33.4%
Draw
34.4%
Padova
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Cittadella
vs
1.03
Padova
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.9%
0-0
14.6%
0-1
12.4%
1-0
11.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).