Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.4%
Reading
30.6%
Draw
43.0%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Reading
vs
1.26
Stoke
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
13.1%
0-0
12.1%
1-0
9.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).