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13 Sept 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.8%
Cordoba
24.1%
Draw
33.1%
La Coruna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

Cordoba

vs
1.37

La Coruna

Markets

BTTS59.2%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.1%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).