Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Tranmere
22.1%
Draw
21.9%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Tranmere
vs
0.95
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
10.5%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
6.2%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).