Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
Girona
30.0%
Draw
30.5%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Girona
vs
0.99
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
13.3%
0-0
12.0%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).