Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.8%
Sp Braga
10.0%
Draw
3.3%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
3.06
Sp Braga
vs
0.51
Boavista
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.4%
2-0
13.2%
4-0
10.3%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
5-0
6.3%
4-1
5.2%
1-1
4.7%
5-1
3.2%
0-0
3.2%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).