Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.7%
Burgos
27.2%
Draw
10.0%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Burgos
vs
0.38
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS23.4%
Over 0.582.9%
Over 1.552.4%
Over 2.525.9%
Over 3.510.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
23.9%
0-0
17.1%
2-0
16.5%
1-1
8.9%
3-0
7.6%
0-1
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
0-2
1.2%
2-2
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).