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04 May 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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79.4%
Viking
12.0%
Draw
8.6%
Sarpsborg 08

Expected Goals (xG)

3.19

Viking

vs
1.03

Sarpsborg 08

Markets

BTTS61.5%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.592.2%
Over 2.579.2%
Over 3.560.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-1
8.2%
3-0
8.0%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
4-1
6.5%
4-0
6.4%
1-1
4.8%
1-0
4.8%
3-2
4.2%
5-1
4.2%
5-0
4.1%
2-2
4.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).