Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.7%
Sunderland
31.9%
Draw
40.5%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Sunderland
vs
1.27
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.0%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
11.2%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).