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30 Nov 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.5%
Mirandes
25.8%
Draw
36.6%
Sociedad B

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Mirandes

vs
1.32

Sociedad B

Markets

BTTS53.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-0
9.5%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
0-0
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).