Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.4%
Leicester
21.7%
Draw
67.9%
Aston Villa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Leicester
vs
2.08
Aston Villa
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.2%
0-1
11.4%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.2%
0-0
7.3%
1-3
6.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
2-1
3.2%
1-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).