Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.3%
Deportivo Alavés
28.0%
Draw
51.7%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Deportivo Alavés
vs
1.40
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.8%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
11.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
0-3
5.2%
2-1
4.7%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).