Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.3%
Oldham
28.1%
Draw
21.6%
Maidenhead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Oldham
vs
0.90
Maidenhead
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-0
10.2%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).