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07 May 2023 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.9%
Cambridge
21.1%
Draw
13.1%
Forest Green

Expected Goals (xG)

1.73

Cambridge

vs
0.59

Forest Green

Markets

BTTS35.9%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.8%
2-0
14.7%
1-1
9.2%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
8.5%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
5.0%
4-0
3.7%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
4-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).