Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Crawley Town
20.9%
Draw
36.3%
Leyton Orient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Crawley Town
vs
1.63
Leyton Orient
Markets
BTTS66.3%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.566.5%
Over 3.544.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
7.0%
1-0
6.6%
0-1
6.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
3-2
4.2%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).