Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
AFC Wimbledon
20.8%
Draw
37.3%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
AFC Wimbledon
vs
1.68
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS67.0%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
7.0%
1-0
6.3%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.0%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.4%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
4.2%
2-3
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).