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16 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.4%
Gorleston
22.6%
Draw
39.9%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

Gorleston

vs
1.65

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS63.9%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
6.6%
0-2
5.3%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
2-3
3.7%
0-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).