Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.2%
Chesterfield
20.7%
Draw
14.1%
Yeovil
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Chesterfield
vs
0.94
Yeovil
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
4.2%
4-1
3.9%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).